I completely agree with what you’ve said, but I’ve been thinking for a while about the sociological impact this will have on us as humans. Essentially, automation with AI and robotics will ultimately lead to a world where no one needs anyone anymore, and that’s what scares me.
From the very beginning, humans have increased their efficiency through collaboration with others—that is the foundation on which we built today’s society. With robots and AI, this is changing. How will this affect the very fabric of our society?
As a lifelong woodworker and fabricator, I to felt that automation of the industries I worked in was quite far off. After close consideration of historical precedents and current advancements, I no longer think it is.
Certain types of field work will need a paradigm shift to accommodate automation, but we have to look no further than container shipping to see an example of how rapidly industry can shift to accommodate automation.
They retrofitted and built entire ports and built entirely new types of massive ships at the cost of billions, in 1970’s money. As a former union guy, I hate to say it, but the shift to container shipping benefited us all at the expense of a few. Far more people have been lifted out of extreme poverty than could have been, without efficient access to global markets.
Great video! Very enlightening. Maybe you should read a novel that I finished reading a few days ago, called Evanesia Project. It's a bit slow at first but it's worth it. Maybe its Fluctuating Guaranteed Income will inspire us to have a similar post-labor economic system for these predictions that I see as very accurate.
Im an automotive master technician, been wrenching for the last two decades. I started a company called Mastertech.AI about 2 years ago and have been deeply exploring the idea of humanoid robots replacing automotive technicians.
I eventually see humanoid bots replacing automotive technicians but I believe the OEM’s would need to start manufacturing vehicles with humanoid robots servicing/repairing vehicles at the core of their design process to make this feasible.
For simple stuff like removing wheels/brakes and component replacement that are easy to access 100% 7 years I believe is even a conservative timeline but for the more advanced stuff like rusted nuts/bolts on header or turbo, buried in an engine bay, that was assembled on the engine outside of the vehicle in a factory is an incredible challenge for even myself at the top of my game.
I believe we are the dawn of some incredible economic headwinds and think more used vehicles are going to be on the road as people won’t be able to afford new vehicles.
I think you're fundamentally underestimating the flexibility of humanoid robots. They will soon be more dexterous than humans. You won't need to redesign the parts to be handled by robots. If anything, the robots will surpass humans in terms of flexibility and dexterity and eventually humans won't be able to work on cars at all.
That will be incredible and I have no doubt it will get there! I fell into the trap of playing the timeline game and just need to keep reminding ourselves of that vertical line coming in the near future where we can’t possibly imagine how our reality will transform.
“Eventually humans won’t be able to work on cars at all” sums it up 🤯
I also feel like 7 years is too quick (partly based on the hype around fully self driving cars about 10 years ago and yet still they are not mainstream). The rusted bolts is a great example as a mechanic needs to apply great force but also “feel” if there is give and movement to adjust. Humans are so sophisticated in our abilities. Robots will get there and fast but I’m thinking of a 12 to 15 year timeframe for robots with better than human capabilities for all things.
I completely agree with what you’ve said, but I’ve been thinking for a while about the sociological impact this will have on us as humans. Essentially, automation with AI and robotics will ultimately lead to a world where no one needs anyone anymore, and that’s what scares me.
From the very beginning, humans have increased their efficiency through collaboration with others—that is the foundation on which we built today’s society. With robots and AI, this is changing. How will this affect the very fabric of our society?
As a lifelong woodworker and fabricator, I to felt that automation of the industries I worked in was quite far off. After close consideration of historical precedents and current advancements, I no longer think it is.
Certain types of field work will need a paradigm shift to accommodate automation, but we have to look no further than container shipping to see an example of how rapidly industry can shift to accommodate automation.
They retrofitted and built entire ports and built entirely new types of massive ships at the cost of billions, in 1970’s money. As a former union guy, I hate to say it, but the shift to container shipping benefited us all at the expense of a few. Far more people have been lifted out of extreme poverty than could have been, without efficient access to global markets.
Great video! Very enlightening. Maybe you should read a novel that I finished reading a few days ago, called Evanesia Project. It's a bit slow at first but it's worth it. Maybe its Fluctuating Guaranteed Income will inspire us to have a similar post-labor economic system for these predictions that I see as very accurate.
Great video David!
Im an automotive master technician, been wrenching for the last two decades. I started a company called Mastertech.AI about 2 years ago and have been deeply exploring the idea of humanoid robots replacing automotive technicians.
I eventually see humanoid bots replacing automotive technicians but I believe the OEM’s would need to start manufacturing vehicles with humanoid robots servicing/repairing vehicles at the core of their design process to make this feasible.
For simple stuff like removing wheels/brakes and component replacement that are easy to access 100% 7 years I believe is even a conservative timeline but for the more advanced stuff like rusted nuts/bolts on header or turbo, buried in an engine bay, that was assembled on the engine outside of the vehicle in a factory is an incredible challenge for even myself at the top of my game.
I believe we are the dawn of some incredible economic headwinds and think more used vehicles are going to be on the road as people won’t be able to afford new vehicles.
Im curious what your take on this perspective is.
I think you're fundamentally underestimating the flexibility of humanoid robots. They will soon be more dexterous than humans. You won't need to redesign the parts to be handled by robots. If anything, the robots will surpass humans in terms of flexibility and dexterity and eventually humans won't be able to work on cars at all.
That will be incredible and I have no doubt it will get there! I fell into the trap of playing the timeline game and just need to keep reminding ourselves of that vertical line coming in the near future where we can’t possibly imagine how our reality will transform.
“Eventually humans won’t be able to work on cars at all” sums it up 🤯
I also feel like 7 years is too quick (partly based on the hype around fully self driving cars about 10 years ago and yet still they are not mainstream). The rusted bolts is a great example as a mechanic needs to apply great force but also “feel” if there is give and movement to adjust. Humans are so sophisticated in our abilities. Robots will get there and fast but I’m thinking of a 12 to 15 year timeframe for robots with better than human capabilities for all things.
So when will AI run for President? Hurry Sundown.